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本报记者倪浩本周五或举行的美国铁路工人大罢工，可能会使美国近1/3货运陷入停顿，也将再次考验美国大宗商品的供应链，继续推高美国高企的通胀率。业界也在担忧，罢工的“溢出效应”是否会加重已遭受疫情和俄乌冲突双重冲击的全球大宗商品市场，甚至波及中国。 The Livingston Public Library hosted a special community event, honouring filmmaker, author and LGBTQ+ activist Onir (Anirban Dhar). The organisation celebrated his contributions to cinema and social change. The evening was marked by a memorable moment when Livingston Mayor Ed Meinhardt and Council Member Ketan Bhuptani presented Onir with an official Township Citation. They recognised his work in promoting visibility, equality and compassion through films.At the event, Mayor Meinhardt praised Onir as "a true trailblazer whose courage and creativity have inspired audiences around the world." He added that "it is an honour for Livingston to host a visionary who reminds us that humanity shines brightest when it celebrates diversity."The event opened with remarks by Shashank Singh, founder of Indians in Livingston (IIL) and Bakstage.AI. He said, "Onir’s films have touched countless lives and his storytelling continues to bridge cultures and conversations around the world." This Award comes to Onir after being conferred the Icon Award at the International South Asian Film Festival, Canada for consistently creating cinema that "pushes boundaries, highlights underrepresented voices, and sparks dialogue around issues often left outside the mainstream." Onir's latest release includes the movie We Are Faheem and Karun. The movie has already been screened in several film festivals, including the Dharamshala International Film Festival. During an exclusive interview with Filmfare, Onir had opened up about the response he received at several film festivals. "For me, the first international screening was at BFI Flare: London LGBTQIA+ Film Festival, which is one of the largest queer film festivals. Within the first two days, both the shows were totally sold out. It was really overwhelming. There's a lot of love that I found from the audience," he noted.Also Read: Filmmaker Onir Honoured With The Icon Award at ISAFF Red Carpet Gala in Vancouver。

B | 根据美国有线电视新闻网（CNN）13日报道，面对美国30年来第一次全国铁路工人罢工，美国企业正日益陷入焦虑中，因为一旦罢工开始，将意味着美国更多的货架空置、工厂关闭，消费品的价格也势必上涨。彭博社则称，全美工业品供应链和农业商品运输都依赖铁路。如果铁路运输中断，美国经济每天的损失将高达20亿美元。

C | 美国铁路协会在一份报告中预测了罢工可能带来的影响，报告称，严重依赖铁路运输其产品的行业包括电子商务、农业、化工、汽车、建筑和煤炭。如果不采取行动，每天可能会导致7000多列火车停运，并引发零售品短缺、制造业大范围停工和失业。美国物流行业的公司高管们纷纷表示，全国性铁路罢工对经济的影响远超过西海岸的港口罢工。

D | 拜登政府正在采取措施竭力避免本周五的全国铁路工人大罢工的发生。CNN报道称，目前只有少数几个工会与铁路公司达成协议，周五凌晨后，拜登将无权阻止罢工。届时，只有国会能够进行干预。一名白宫官员表示，美国总统拜登和内阁官员本周一与货运铁路公司和工会接触，努力避免成千上万的工人罢工。

E | 报道称，拜登亲自参与停滞不前的劳资谈判，表明白宫对可能进行的罢工非常重视，因为罢工可能会扰乱美国经济，并损害民主党在11月中期选举中保住国会多数席位的机会。美国周五可能举行的大罢工为大宗商品的供应拉响警报。中国社科院美国研究所研究员吕祥接受《环球时报》记者采访时分析认为，周五美国铁路工人的罢工大概率会进行，但很可能不是全国性的。罢工所带来的影响要取决于罢工规模的大小。不过吕祥也认为，铁路运输已网络化，一个地方罢工也会带来全局性影响，这无疑对美国抑制通胀产生不利，加大美联储大幅度加息的可能。美元指数上涨，迫使全球货币贬值，势必影响人民币的汇率。美国通胀上升，美元收紧，会削弱美国的市场需求，影响中国对美国的出口，增加中国外贸压力。另外，美国是全球能源和粮食重要的出口大国，罢工带来的运输不畅，将加剧全球能源及粮食价格的波动。中钢经济研究院首席研究员胡麒牧告诉《环球时报》记者，与能源相比，中美之间更重要的是粮食贸易，主要是大豆，而美国铁路工人大罢工有可能会对此产生影响。

F | 胡麒牧认为，美国是全球重要的粮食出口国，罢工可能会带来全球粮食价格的波动。不过，胡麒牧表示，这种影响产生在供应环节，而非生产端，因此这种影响将是局部的、短期的。吕祥也认为，鉴于美国铁路工人罢工可能带来的复杂深远的影响，拜登政府势必采取多种措施，以阻止这种情况的发生。

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